Anthony Hilton: The real risks of the two-horse election race – Evening Standard


Evening Standard

Anthony Hilton: The real risks of the two-horse election race
Evening Standard
Anthony Hilton: The real risks of the two-horse election race. Anthony Hilton: Confidence in the City and among investors will likely take a hit regardless of the election outcome (Picture: Jeremy Selwyn). Anthony Hilton. Published: 30 April 2015

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Liberal Conspiracy: Two big reasons a Tory-Lib Dem coalition is unlikely after this election

Nick Clegg clearly wants another coalition with the Conservatives. And I’m fairly sure Cameron recognises the necessity of carrying on their tolerable relationship. And a lot of people in Westminster assume the two will be joined at the hip when negotiating post-election.

But I don’t think it will be that straightforward.

Firstly, it won’t be easy from the Conservative side. Theresa May and Boris Johnson want their shot at being leader of the party and neither have time to waste. Neither want to wait another five years either, when more of the recent crop of Tories will want their shot.

Tory leadership hopefuls could make the argument to colleagues that another coalition would undermine the Tory party and force them to break more promises. Besides, Cameron has shown himself of winning elections outright, so why not get rid of him and get a proper leader who will win in 5 years time? Many Tories, who will not want the straightjacket of another coalition, will find that a seductive pitch and may reject another coalition.

Secondly, its not a done and dusted deal from the Lib Dem side either. For a start, Clegg has to get approval from his fellow MPs and party members, and that won’t be as straightforward this time.

There will be far more hostility from Lib Dems this time, for good reasons. These are some points made to me by Steffan John (@steffanjohn) over Twitter. I’m quoting him directly without embedding tweets to make it look cleaner:

1) Maths for majority isn’t there.
2) Even if a small majority was, no national interest in unstable government with 4yr leadership contest.
3) 2010 had financial crisis backdrop and 4) threat of swift re-election. Neither there this time, so less pressure on Lib Dems
5) 2010 had common ground on civil liberties, localisation, constitutional reform, environment, raising tax thresh. All gone.
6) Labour not hated as it was in 2010; Tories far more Right-wing now. LD won’t support again, esp. as Lab-LD-(SNP) is possible

Steffan John is a Lib Dem and makes some good points.

And here is Vince Cable’s former SpAd Giles Wilkes

There is, I think, a real chance Lib Dems will reject a coalition with Cameron, especially if there are signs of hostility from Tory MPs (stirred up by May and Boris).

That clears the way for Miliband to be Prime Minister, with Lib Dems choosing to either work in a coalition or sit on the sidelines, while the Conservatives choose their next leader.

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Dave Hill | The Guardian: ‘Red Boris’ and the Daily Mail

Ed Miliband’s pledge to give councils new “use it or lose it” powers against land banking developers has been attacked as “Stalinist”. But Boris Johnson seems quite keen on the idea.

We gather from the Daily Mail that Ed Miliband has “lurched further to the Left” with a “Stalinist” plan to “extend state control of the property market” and take Britain back to the “dark days of the Seventies”. The horrid man wants to introduce “use it or lose it” powers allowing councils to encourage building on undeveloped land by raising taxes on its owners. There’s more: “Sites left idle could be compulsorily purchased for use by another developer,” says the Mail. What a scheming, pinko monster “Red Ed” is.

What might he say in his own defence? Why, he’d probably denounce land banking – the hoarding of development sites while their value goes up – as a pernicious practice that is contributing to the housing crisis and should be stopped in our economic interests. He would say he is all in favour of compulsory purchase order (CPO) powers being used to stamp it out and allow building to get started fast. Yes, those are the sorts of things Miliband might say. But if he did, he might be called a plagiarist. That is because exactly such an argument was made in the recent past by Boris Johnson, London’s Conservative mayor, using some of the very same words

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The VPME VIDEO PREMIERE – GOLDSMACK – Good Morning Star

Dave Tebaldi, Georgia Minelli, and Luca Bagatti are Goldsmack, three childhood friends who, inspired by, or perhaps in spite of, the beautiful isolation of their hometown found escapism in music and began writing their own songs. They hail from a small village, situated in the gentle hills of northern Italy, which they’ve described as ‘the single most beautiful and boring place on earth.’

In an age when a lack stimulation seems almost impossible, boredom remains a singularly underrated ingredient in the artistic process.  Of course, it’s how you channel that boredom that is important and Goldsmack have certainly used it as a positive.  They’ve produced a rather wonderful debut EP, Wild Season, after striking a rich vein of creativity to extract five shiny nuggets of mystical psychedelic pop.

We’re delighted to premiere their video for what is perhaps our favourite track on the EP ‘ Good Morning Star’ a driving melodic psych-pop gem.  But what’s the song all about?  We asked singer Georgia Minelli, who explained  ‘it’s a song with multiple intentional interpretations, from the very title to its lyrics, and also the sound choices. On one hand, it is a lullaby. Something to sing to a child to soothe him/her into sleep, with the promise of a good morning under a lucky star. On the other hand, it can represent the birth of a new star, a personality bearing new or renewed fame. There is also a third and more complex interpretation: ‘Good Morning Star’ is a prayer, a ritual invocation an invitation to transcend our own limits, as well as an optimistic chant, a glorification of universal chaos. The star, of this song, rises, metaphorically, and illuminates us, leading us to a new Enlightenment.

The sound is both mysterious and easy, repetitive and catchy. The sound is what really ties together all its aspects, the childish element, in the style of Bruce Haack, the repetitive tribal bass-line surrounded by electronic chants and guitar evokes a pagan technological prayer, and a darker melody drags the listener into the light’

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The trio has two London dates lined up in May

10th MAY

Floripa (ex-Favela Chic) – Sunday 10th May, performance at 9.15pm
91-93 Great Eastern Street, City of London EC2A 3HZ
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11th MAY

Monday 11th May, performance at 9.15pm

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 And …here’s another track from the EP; ‘A Wild Wild Season’ which has a touch of The Velvets, a touch of a Nick Cave murder ballad and a touch of genius.

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